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Digitization of FMCG and Retail in India -The long road ahead.

With increase in mobile penetration in India to over 80% today, consumers expect more out of their mobile interactions apart from instant access to information. Consequently, every industry is reorienting itself around the consumer (including traditionally
enterprise-focused industries) and there is a renewed vigor across markets to understand their consumers.

The consumerization of industries has led to a paradigm shift in the way business is conducted across sectors – they are increasingly adopting digitization. The Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) and Retail sector is close to (savvy and demanding) consumers,
has manifold supply chain complexities and is fragmented. A vast country with far-flung markets, diverse consumer segments and traditional supply chains add to the challenges in smooth digital adoption for this sector.

FMCG Retail growth in semi-urban and rural outpacing urban segments

FMCG is the 4th largest sector in the Indian economy with Household and Personal Care accounting for 50 per cent of FMCG sales in India. Growing awareness, easier access and changing lifestyles have been the key growth drivers for the sector.
The urban segment with revenue share of around 55 per cent is the largest contributor to the sector. However, in the last few years, the growth rate of the FMCG market in rural India is higher than that of urban India. Semi-urban and rural segments
are growing at a rapid pace and FMCG products account for 50 per cent of total rural spending.

Leveraging technology to streamline the FMCG Retail value chain in semi-urban and rural segments, as well as under-served urban segments can unlock significant efficiencies and growth for the industry.

What is the state of digitization in FMCG Retail India today?

While the sector has realized the need for digitization, the long tail of this market makes it a difficult proposition. With a vast unorganized segment – the neighbour hood stores, kiranas, small brands, unbranded products – that contribute to over 85% of this market,
driving technology adoption is truly a mammoth task.

Two broad trends are emerging in the market –

Consumer-focused digital adoption – This is been spearheaded by the online eCommerce giants joined by the hyper local players such as Swiggy and Dunzo. They promise convenience, and aim to fulfill consumer needs anytime and anywhere.
Supply Chain disinter mediation – There are many emerging providers focusing on driving efficiencies in B2B by disinter mediating distributors and wholesalers.

While these are welcome trends in promoting digital adoption rate, this is not sufficient to drive digitization in the industry. The following factors continue to pose challenges –

The existing distribution chain is created over a long period and it is impractical to ignore that in the drive for adoption. The relationships forged and the value gained from the personal network through ‘non-digital’ means of transacting business is difficult to replicate
in the ‘digital’ world.
Credit plays a huge role in the supply chain. This is being almost wholly provided by distributors and wholesalers today. It will be an uphill task to manage the credit cycle without involvement from this segment.
Logistics of moving the product closer to the customer while maintaining the demand density is a significant challenge. Even big players continue to incur losses and are changing their business models to curtail this.
“Inclusive Adoption” is the way forward
The effective means of driving digital adoption across the sector is through what we call “Inclusive Adoption”.

What do we mean by Inclusive Adoption?Take all players in the value chain along the digital journey. The industry has found solutions for last-mile connectivity, improving demand density, reliable credit management etc. through the distribution channel.

This needs to be taken further in terms of driving digital adoption in key aspects that lag behind in leveraging technology such as ordering, inventory management and customer engagement etc. This will bring about huge benefits to the sector in terms of lower supply
chain costs, increase in consumer base and higher revenue per consumer.

Project Jayini : working while you study!

In an initiative called Project Jayini, nStore Technologies Private Limited and Amshuhu iTech Solutions Private Limited give students an opportunity to study and the chance to gain work experience simultaneously.

The selected students will be pursuing an undergraduate BCA degree via online mode from Sastra University and they would be trained/groomed via real project experiences at nStore & Amshuhu. It is an effort that was developed primarily to create an ecosystem where students get closer experience to Industry and create a differentiator due to this package.

The students will be given a stipend during this period to cover the fees and incidental expenses. The training and orientation will cover all necessary skillsets to build a career in IT covering soft, behavioural, process, domain and technical skills. Lakshminarasimhan Rangachari, the CFO and Co-founder of nStore Technologies

As a start, more than 15 students have signed up to participate in this solid debut. Participating in this programme, which offers a fantastic platform for learning and working simultaneously, was a delight for both the students and their parents.

The CEO of Amshuhu, Balamurugan, gave the enrolled students orientation on the significance of this programme so they would be equipped for the first set of Project Jayini 2022

This initiative is expected to help hundreds of students to experience the right balance of academics and Industry experience. Project Jayini will enable students to earn and study at the same time.

The Rush for Online Commerce in Indian Retail.

Unorganised retail – the next wave of growth
Indian Retail is embracing digital like never before, especially the unorganised segment. Look around and one sees numerous examples of this. Be it the neighbourhood kirana shop, the mobile vegetable cart vendor, the local baker, the small fresh meat and fish vendor – every business has a foot in the door of digitization. This may not be in the form of sophisticated websites or fancy apps but through simple, ingenious combinations of everyday technology – such as WhatsApp and UPI-based payments that provide a good-enough or even great experience for their customers. The trend which was clearly there prior to Covid has only accelerated this year due to logistical and other constraints during lockdowns.

The pandemic especially has brought in several new players and intensified action from investors, big players and startups. In recent times, the industry has attracted interest and investment some of the largest Indian corporates and foreign investors who are looking to ride this wave – both offline and online. To name a few – Reliance Retail and its digital arm, JioMart (which has over US$10B investment from the likes of Facebook, Google and investors); Tata Group’s offline network, its app (Tata Cliq), its imminent stake in Big Basket (India’s largest grocery ecommerce) and its plans to build a super app for consumers; Walmart’s increasing stake in Flipkart, Amazon’s significant penetration in the market. The numbers justify the interest. The Indian Retail industry is estimated to be a US$1.2 Trillion market by 2023 (according to the management consultancy firm, RedSeer). The pie is huge and even a small portion of it would provide great scale to any business.

Despite significant challenges in supply chain and inventory tracking, ability to adopt to technology and sheer fragmentation of the market, all players areplacing their bets on the unorganised segment. With over 85% of trade happening through this segment – it is a market that cannot be ignored.

Everyone wants a piece of the Online Grocery pie
Within the unorganised space, cracking the e-grocery delivery space is the ultimate prize. While fashion, apparel, accessories, electronics segments have seen significant growth; online grocery is the fastest-growing (57% CAGR according to RedSeer). As per a recent RedSeer report, Online grocery is expected to reach a market size of US$18 Bn by 2024, and comprise 2.3% of the overall food and grocery market in India. Grocery is a hugely attractive segment – it has the highest customer-stickiness through weekly or monthly purchases of consumables and is unparalleled in terms of potential growth opportunity. It is also the most challenging segment due to inherent supply chain challenges and low margins. With everyone from established players to startups alike making attempts to “organise” theunorganized grocery segment through technology offerings, we see the space segregated largely into four buckets.

Online Market Places & Inventory Led players (Amazon, Flipkart, Reliance Jio, Big Basket) – typically big players with deep pockets, strong logistics networks;some also have offline retail presence
Aggregator Platforms focused on Customers(Swiggy, Zomato, Dunzo etc.) – they were in the aggregation business already (typically, food delivery) and quickly swung to grocery during the pandemic
Aggregator Platforms focused on the Supply Chain (Udaan, Jumbotail, ShopKirana) – they are looking to enable retailers by bringing in efficiencies upstream (distributor and supplier side solutions)
New Age Fintechs offering online presence to Retailers (Dukaan, Bikayi, DotPe etc.) – they are looking to leverage the extensive merchant base to whom they already offer Credit, Accounting or other technology-based financial services
Online Market Places & Inventory Led players (Amazon, Flipkart, Reliance Jio, Big Basket)
They largely control the customer experience and once ordersare placed on the platform, they are fulfilled through the store or their warehouses. These players leverage categories like Fashion, Apparels, Electronics etc. in their marketplace model to cover for the lower margins that Grocery has. The high cost of logistics and last mile delivery make FMCG and Grocery loss leaders.

Hence, they look at outsourcinglast mile delivery to the neighborhood stores and reduce the costs; but are unable to succeed as they do not have visibility on the products and prices at the shop-level and the customer experience is inconsistent.

To increase margins and engagement, they offer private label brands to these stores and consumers which is a threat to the established FMCG brands who have developed this channel.

Aggregator Platforms focused on Customers(Swiggy, Zomato, Dunzo etc.)
They extended their aggregation service of local restaurants to grocery stores. They simply aggregate the stores in the neighborhood and present them through their app. The catalogue and price are largely controlled by the platform. The platforms also handle the customer experience and the promise of delivering in 1-hour.

This model also has lowmargins since grocery does not justify thehigh costs of delivery agents;as opposed to the food delivery business up to 30% commissions are obtained. With the aim to cut costs and improve efficiencies, they have resorted to creating dark stores (fulfillment centres) that wouldstock products that are often ordered in that locality

Aggregator Platforms focused on the Supply Chain (Udaan, Jumbotail, ShopKirana)
These players focus on disintermediating the Supplier and Distributor ecosystem. They offer products and credit to retailers to buy from the platform.

A major challenge they haveis an aggregated exposure of the credit risk which was earlier decentralized across multiple distributors

New Age Fintechs offering online presence to Retailers (Dukaan, Bikayi,DotPe etc.)
These are largely fintech players who offer a Do It Yourself (DIY) platform for the retailer to setup a store and offer their products online to their existing set of customers. However, this does require handholding the retailers and offering support to them – despite the DIY label. Only those retailers who are digital savvy (which are far and few) are able to adapt well to these platforms.

It is a long haul. Who will prevail?
The players who are willing to engage with retailers, handhold them through the journey and who are genuinely focused on providing value to the small retailers are the ones most likely to succeed in the long term. Short term focus and “quick-fixes” need to be scaled effectively to stand the test of time. Just this year, Zomato which ventured into the e-grocery delivery business, scaled down or shut down in various cities within afew months of starting it. Success in this space requires deep pockets and a deep understanding of the market coupled with the ability to be nimble and innovative. The market is still evolving and there is no one size fits all.

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